Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 225.104806 271.447274 329.464219 409.206006 518.946376 669.537132 9.013307e+02
2025-02-02 183.722086 243.996287 331.417233 475.430587 725.481791 1188.440773 2.272179e+03
2025-02-09 148.431820 207.413533 300.134992 470.168597 813.913037 1610.705525 4.364411e+03
2025-02-16 128.282289 186.412895 283.792475 479.025117 931.346697 2245.672436 9.679333e+03
2025-02-23 113.517117 170.081891 269.765639 485.031552 1048.090691 3098.544562 2.557350e+04
2025-03-02 103.030274 158.559399 260.937069 497.747119 1195.660459 4461.491525 1.176404e+05
2025-03-09 94.124905 148.072200 251.344798 504.794592 1337.755436 6397.590743 3.425242e+06
2025-03-16 84.726376 135.177994 234.143377 486.785844 1382.716678 8064.201422 NaN
2025-03-23 80.585468 131.411258 235.000244 516.792335 1653.927538 14385.673452 NaN
2025-03-30 73.061795 120.140522 217.519479 489.146835 1645.451500 17393.951695 NaN
2025-04-06 68.783109 114.702552 212.088875 495.745929 1824.621380 29026.971214 NaN
2025-04-13 64.681333 109.120353 205.352953 496.167002 1980.050917 49538.123060 NaN
2025-04-20 63.290897 109.376728 213.648780 554.950358 2679.921811 372900.117110 NaN
2025-04-27 63.234679 112.519453 230.243798 657.637128 4222.756732 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 58.958078 105.905267 220.057984 649.342824 4647.637749 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 55.915018 101.648106 215.403045 663.305263 5528.191065 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 53.066943 97.484982 210.203501 672.803620 6508.537630 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 50.784937 94.352239 207.348099 692.988603 8035.379448 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 48.494140 90.941542 203.051860 704.220735 9671.204142 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 45.531949 85.658627 192.301058 675.582212 9874.792227 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 44.442829 84.740345 194.706665 723.415514 14204.230044 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 41.643921 79.428107 182.598934 679.324887 13438.611904 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 40.100988 77.060909 179.495034 689.804956 16551.173215 NaN NaN